2022 Oscar predictions: who will win – and who will win

Finally we get the answer.

On Sunday, ABC will broadcast the long-awaited 94th Annual Academy Awards on a full live, no-zoom show.

The debate swirls around one New fan favorite voteMade via Twitter and the Academy website, with 10 nominees – “Army of the Dead,” “Cinderella,” “Dun,” “Malignant,” “Minamata,” “The Power of the Dog,” “Sing 2,” Spider-Man: No Way Home, “” The Suicide Squad, “and” Tick, Tick … Boom! “

If Spidey fails to catch it, the fan will be hell to pay.

There are some sure things up front though. Jane Campion (“The Power of the Dog”) will probably become the third woman to win Best Director in 94 years. With a hot race for the best song between Billy Hilsa (“No Time to Die”) and “Encanto” artist Lynn Manuel Miranda (“Dos Oruguitas”), expect “Dun” to clear everything technical.

Here are my predictions about who will win – and who will win – in the most important categories the Oscar audience is likely to pin on their seats.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

  • Javier Bardem (“Being the Ricardos”)
  • Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Power of Dogs”)
  • Andrew Garfield (“Tick, tick … boom!”)
  • Will Smith (“King Richard”)
  • Denzel Washington (“The Tragedy of Macbeth”)
  • Must win: Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Power of Dogs”)

    The British star of “Sherlock Holmes” is doing his best as a fictional American cowboy who sadly misses the cruelty of being a real man. Hollywood is terrified of English Thespians, as witnessed last year snatching gold for Sir Anthony Hopkins’ “The Father” when smart money was with the late legend Chadwick Bosman (“Mother Rainy’s Black Bottom”).

    Will win: Will Smith (“King Richard”)

    Oz “Fresh Price of Bell Air” waited until he was over 50 to take on a role that would really catch the eye of academy voters. He found it between tennis champion Venus and Richard Williams, the hard-driving father of Serena Williams. The movie may sandpaper Richard’s rough edges, but Smith undoubtedly highlights his life’s performance.

    Best Actress in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain (“Tammy Fire Eyes”)
  • Olivia Coleman (“The Lost Daughter”)
  • Penelope Cruz (“parallel mother”)
  • Nicole Kidman (“Being the Ricardos”)
  • Kristen Stewart (“Spencer”)
  • Must win: Olivia Coleman (“The Lost Daughter”)

    With Penelope Cruz, Coleman has the difficulty of not starring in a biopic, a genre Oscar recurring, chastening Chasten, Kidman (as Lucille Ball) and Stuart (as Princess Diana). Do not think that Coleman is fascinated by the uncompromising study of a ghostly woman by her perceived failure as the wife of Maggie Gillenhall and the mother of two children.

    Will win: Jessica Chastain (“Tammy Fire Eyes”)

    Just a few weeks ago, it was hardest to predict the race for Best Actress. Since then, Chastain Clooney has won awards from SAG and Critics’ Choice for his portrayal of dynamite in the release of insulting televangelist Tammy Faye Baker from his reputation as a cultural joke in Clownish Eye Makeup. Chastain also produced the film, which took almost a decade to succeed. How do you resist that kind of emotion project? Short answer: You don’t.

    Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Ciaran Hinds (“Belfast”)
  • Troy Kotsur (“CODA”)
  • Jesse Plemons (“The Power of the Dog”)
  • JK Simmons (“Being the Ricardos”)
  • Cody Smith-McPhee (“The Power of the Dog”)
  • Must win: Cody Smith-McPhee (“The Power of the Dog”)

    In another year, 25-year-old Cody Smith-McPhee will be honored at the Oscars for his role as Peter, who locks the horn with the bully Cowboy, played by Benedict Cumberbatch. The Aussie actor has played the role of a nightcrawler in the “X-Men” franchise, but nothing prepares you for the quietly destructive performance he provides here.

    Will win: Troy Kotsur (“CODA”)

    Could the 53-year-old Kotsur join his “CODA” coaster Marley Matlin to become the second deaf actor to win an Oscar for acting? Bet on Matlin, who won for 1986’s “Children of a Laser God”, making room for Kotsur in the winning circle. In an unforgettable scene, he asks his hearing daughter to sing just for him, putting his hand on her throat and feeling the vibration of her voice.

    Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Jesse Buckley (“The Lost Daughter”)
  • Ariana Debos (“West Side Story”)
  • Judy Dench (“Belfast”)
  • Kirsten Dunst (“The Power of Dogs”)
  • Aunjanue Ellis (“King Richard”)
  • Must win: Ariana Debos (“West Side Story”)

    Only one actor has agreed to star in a remake of Steven Spielberg’s favorite musical instrument (sorry Rachel Ziegler, Mike Feist and Rita Moreno). So it is up to Ariana Debos, an Afro-Latin dynamo who won the Oscar for Moreno in the same role in 1962. Moreno, in a newly created role, is not an easy task as he shares the screen with Debos. Don’t worry. Debos sings, dances and performs songs with a transcendent beauty and power that is his own.

    Will win: Ariana Debos (“West Side Story”)

    Sometimes it’s really that simple.

    The best picture

  • “Belfast”
  • “CODA”
  • “Don’t look up”
  • “Drive my car”
  • “Dun”
  • “King Richard”
  • “Licorice Pizza”
  • “Nightmare alley”
  • “The power of the dog”
  • “West Side Story”
  • Must win: “The power of the dog”

    Jane Campion’s Montana Western boasts the most nominations (12) and best reviews, but critics insist that “dog power” is easier to appreciate than love. Others directly hate it. Consider “1883” star Sam Elliott, who called director Campion for the film’s “hint of homosexuality”, criticized the film’s American Western portrayal, and described the film as “a piece —“. Campion replied that Elliott was not a cowboy but an “actor.” Ouch. Remember when the 2005 Oscar pioneer “Brokeback Mountain” about gay cowboys lost to the surprise winner “Crash”? It could happen again.

    Will win: “CODA”

    Last week, this passionate favorite won the top award from the American Producers Guild, which made 22 amazing predictions for an Oscar winner in its 32-year history. It reminds everyone that all these crowd-pleasing emotional buttons about the only listening child of a deaf parent press. Can an underdog kill a big “dog”? It will be an intimate and exciting race.

    The 94th Academy Awards will air on Sunday, March 27, at 8pm ET / 5pm PT Live on ABC.

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